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{"id":2983,"date":"2020-04-21T05:58:24","date_gmt":"2020-04-21T05:58:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/tvs-test.co.za\/ccred\/?p=2983"},"modified":"2024-05-22T11:30:57","modified_gmt":"2024-05-22T11:30:57","slug":"digital-disruptions-in-the-yellow-metals-industry-the-role-for-government-response","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/tvs-test.co.za\/ccred\/2020\/04\/21\/digital-disruptions-in-the-yellow-metals-industry-the-role-for-government-response\/","title":{"rendered":"DIGITAL DISRUPTIONS IN THE YELLOW METALS INDUSTRY: THE ROLE FOR GOVERNMENT RESPONSE"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Digital Industrial Policy Brief 8<\/strong><\/h2>

Justin Barnes<\/strong>[1]<\/strong><\/a> and Mbongeni Ndlovu <\/strong>[2]<\/strong><\/a><\/p>

Introduction<\/strong><\/p>

The Yellow Metals industry is undergoing profound transformation. Rapid technology advances such as telematics and remote monitoring, hybrid powertrain technology, and autonomous vehicles have recently emerged to challenge the status quo. Furthermore, the combination of technology advances and increasing refinement of customer preferences is leading to a fundamental shift in the industry\u2019s commercial model: from the selling of products to the provision of Internet of Things (IoT) enabled heavy transport equipment services. This transformation is gaining momentum in several major Yellow Metal markets and is forecast to continue gaining momentum over the next decade. This transformation is already impacting South African Yellow Metal Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors, who are needing to adapt their business models accordingly. The full range of Industry 4.0 disruptions are therefore evident within the Yellow Metals industry and the South African government will need to factor these disruptions into the support provided to the small local Yellow Metals industry.<\/p>

For the purposes of this digitalisation briefing note, Yellow Metal[3]<\/a> products are defined as off-highway vehicles for the construction, mining and agricultural sectors. The different types of Yellow Metal products can be segmented according to the major markets they serve, per the table below.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div>

\"DIP<\/div><\/div><\/figure><\/div><\/div><\/div>

The primary inputs into Yellow Metal production are steel, aluminium, polymers, plastics, rubber and fiberglass. These inputs are developed into components, which are in turn engineered and assembled into Yellow Metal vehicles. The vehicles are either made to order or retailed through dealerships. Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) are the lead firms in the value chain, taking responsibility for the design, manufacture and assembly of Yellow Metal products. It is these OEMs that are the most impacted by Industry 4.0 disruptions, and that by implication are also driving the Yellow Metal industry\u2019s rapid response to disruptions. OEMs are also often involved in the engineering and fabrication of key Yellow Metal components and sub-assemblies such as engines and cabins, while also holding ownership stakes in dealerships, and sometimes operating rental businesses.<\/p>

Given the technical complexity of Yellow Metals machinery, barriers to entry into the industry are high. Significant financial investments are required, as is the ability to invest in R&D. Globally dominant OEMs such as Caterpillar, Volvo, Hyundai Heavy Industry, and Hitachi have secured their positions through decades of investment in designing and engineering high quality products. Consequently, the Yellow Metal market typically has a small number of large multinational players, operating in diverse product categories and numerous geographical markets.<\/p>

The Yellow Metal industry\u2019s major customer base is equally technologically advanced, encompassing large mining companies and commercial farmers, as well as civil engineering and construction contractors. For the mining and construction equipment sectors, customers tend to purchase directly from the OEMs, while farmers tend to purchase from dealers. Pre-owned or rented machines are substitutes for new products.<\/p>

From a product to service orientation<\/strong><\/p>

A recent Mckinsey and Company study surveyed Yellow Metals OEMs and industry experts from Europe to identify and rank the most significant trends affecting the industry.[4]<\/a> The major trends identified, in order of importance, were: the increasing importance of the aftermarket, higher demand for customised\/specialised machines for specific applications, increasing environmental requirements, revolutionary new technologies and ways of using machinery, and increasing demand for financing and leasing.<\/p>

Global OEMs increasingly provide finance and aftermarket services (parts and servicing). The addition of finance assists customers to purchase Yellow Metals products on credit, at favourable interest rates. Aftermarket sales assist to increase customer loyalty and return purchases. For instance, Volvo Finance offers operating and finance leases, instalment sale contracts, working capital loans, insurance and wholesale financing plans to both customers and dealers to help support the purchase and lease of our equipment. Providing finance is also becoming a significant revenue stream for Yellow Metal OEMs.\u00a0 According to their Annual reports, Caterpillar financial services generated revenues of ~US$ 3 billion in 2016 and Volvo financial services revenues were ~US$ 1.5 billion. Accounting for 8% of Caterpillar and 4% of Volvo\u2019s revenues in 2016.<\/p>

Modern Yellow Metal consumers prefer customised, purpose-specific, co-created products. At the same time, technological advances have transformed the Yellow Metal manufacturing process into a more rapid, cost effective and modular process. According to Sturgeon (2017), when combined, these factors of customisation and technology advancement tend towards a New Digital Economy (NDE). The NDE describes a prospective economy in which the processes of production and consumption will be increasingly digitised rather than operating through the current mechanical and micro-electronic technologies which characterise a modern industrial economy. Per Sturgeon[5]<\/a>, the NDE will be characterised by advanced manufacturing technologies, encompassing robotics and factory automation; new sources of data from mobile and ubiquitous internet connectivity; cloud computing; big data analytics; and increasing levels of artificial intelligence.<\/p>

A key feature of the NDE era is the narrowing of the distance between the manufacturer and customer, allowing manufacturers to bypass traditional intermediaries. The nature of manufactured products will transform from material possessions that people or organisations own to physical assets that form part of a service package for which the users buy access.<\/p>

The movement to service platforms represents a fundamental digital disruption for Yellow Metals OEMs. For example, when a mine purchases a transport solution package for its minerals extraction, rather than a fleet of Articulated Dump Trucks (ADTs), the entire business model changes for the OEMs. An OEM is now deeply integrated into the functionality of the products it offers, and essentially needs to convince the mining company of its service suitability over the period of the package contract, as opposed to product performance characteristics. From enabling Yellow Metal products with advanced telemetric processors to enable IoT capability for the mine, the balance now shifts to enabling the service platform to work seamlessly for the client to ensure that maximum minerals extraction is made possible. The functionality of the service becomes the responsibility of the OEMs.<\/p>

Efficiency enhancements<\/strong><\/p>

The traditional business model of leading Yellow Metals OEMs is based on standardisation, low cost production and economies of scale. Multinational OEMs also use their access to global markets and extensive retail networks as a competitive advantage. Some of the advancements in digitalisation technology are further driving the existing efficiency based competitive model of Yellow Metals OEMs.<\/p>

OEMs are producing products that are heavier and more fuel efficient, which can increase payloads and lower the cost-per-tonne ratio of projects. For example, in 2016 Volvo Construction Equipment launched a 60-ton articulated hauler and 90-ton excavator[6]<\/a>; and in 2017 Liebherr developed the HS8300 HD crawler crane which has 300-ton load capacity.[7]<\/a> Lead OEMs also continue to implement enhanced process technologies in their manufacturing facilities to improve productivity and right first-time quality. Key to this evolution is more advanced machine learning algorithms that are continuously optimising equipment processes.<\/p>

Vehicle emission reduction is predominantly linked to government regulation and has been a focus of OEMs for several years, consuming large parts of the leading firms\u2019 R&D expenditure. As an example, in September 2016 the European Union (EU) finalised Stage V emissions standards applicable to off road diesel engines from 0 to 56 kW and to all types of engines above 56 kW. In the same year, Volvo launched a hybrid wheel loader[8]<\/a> and Komatsu developed 33 new models to comply with Stage IV emissions standards[9]<\/a>. As OEMs reduce emissions and increase productivity, there is increasingly more room to divert resources to other research and development areas, which appear to be securing greater levels of expenditure. Key amongst these are telematics and vehicle autonomy.<\/p>

Telematics and vehicle autonomy<\/strong><\/p>

Telematics describes technology that can monitor fuel patterns, loading and haulage rates and that can connect multiple pieces of equipment. Telematics systems combine GPS technology, on-board diagnostics and monitoring sensors to track, log and report data by cellular networks on the performance and operation of Yellow Metals equipment. Data from telematics systems are typically accessed through a web portal and can provide data on several machine systems. Common data points include GPS location, fuel consumption, idle times and machine alerts.<\/p>

Telematics and remote monitoring are closely linked with better aligning product and\/or service performance with customer requirements. Real-time data from machines can help increase per\u00adformance, optimise maintenance, and reduce downtime. Longer-term benefits include refining machine design and functionality within contexts, as the lessons learnt from operational performance are applied back into the functioning of the machinery, thereby enhancing performance over time. However, at present, telematics and remote monitoring is mainly being used by Yellow Metal OEMs for more basic tracking of machine use and performance. For example, Caterpillar markets its telematics system under the brand Cat\u00ae Connect Technology and Services which it offers for monitoring of worksites, fuel consumption and utilisation across all its construction equipment products. Similarly, Komatsu uses KOMTRAX to monitor Komatsu equipment via satellite and Liebherr has Crane Planner 2.0 planning software for its cranes.[10]<\/a><\/p>

Telematics and remote monitoring are the gateway to more advanced data-driven applica\u00adtions \u2013 both machine improvements and the provision of more advanced customer services and solutions. Furthermore, IoT-enabled telematic sensors are a key step towards the development of autonomous vehicles. Importantly, Yellow Metals OEMs have been working on the development of autonomous vehicles for the last 20 years. Autonomous vehicles are viewed as safer and more cost effective than their human drive equivalents across the mining, construction and agricultural sectors. Automation has been particularly significant in mining and quarrying machinery. Fully autonomous trucks use various sensors to continuously monitor their surroundings and can avoid both fixed and moving obstacles. Some examples of advancements in automation in the Yellow Metals sector cited in OEM annual reports include:<\/p>